Population forecasting
5 things you need to know about how population growth in Australia is changing
In the last two years, Australia’s population growth rate has slowed.
Can the history of Rockingham help us understand the future?
It might seem obvious but one of the more intriguing aspects of population forecasting is the numbers. The size of the populations that are forecast at future points in time can either be scary, or represent a...
On population projections, forecasts and weather
Population forecasts are often referred to as ‘projections’. This is understandable, as they are ‘projecting’ something into the future. But the term projection implies that it is a continuation of current...
The 10 things you need to know about population forecasts
Knowing how the population will change is extremely valuable for any organisation that is planning for the future. To inform your plans and make confident decisions you will need to rely on a population...
Case Study – Planning for schools: Willoughby Public School
The community around Willoughby Public School (WPS) were concerned that the Department of Education was underestimating the population pressures the school faced. They sought out .id for an independent...
Which population forecast should I use?
On two occasions I have been asked, “Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?” … I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that...
Forecasting slow growing areas – the example of Burnside
Here at .id we provide population and dwelling forecasts to about 120 local governments across Australia. It’s a common misconception that all of these are rapidly growing areas – and many are – but a key use...
Melbourne changes direction – a new era of urban development
Melbourne is growing up. For the first time in the city’s history, urban infill development is outpacing greenfield development on the city’s fringes.
Using population forecasts to project the health outcomes of suburbs
While there are well-documented links between health behaviours and health outcomes, there is also a growing body of work suggesting that the way we are designing and building our suburbs can have a significant...
Modelling future disability service demand in Wyndham
One of the most common questions we are asked at training sessions is “Do you have any information on disability?”. There is some information in the Census, on Need For Assistance, but it’s fairly basic, just a...
Putting forward a reasoned view on Australian immigration
A recent BRW Article noted that some key business leaders people were taking up arms against ‘Big Australia’.
Why are the population figures different in profile and forecast.id?
One of the more challenging aspects of working in the demographic field is the multitude of different population figures we have to deal with. If it’s not a final figure, it’s probably preliminary, revised,...
Forecasting demand for high schools in NSW
Next year, a new high school will welcome students to the old Bradfield TAFE site in Crows Nest, Sydney. It will be the first high school to open on Sydney’s north shore since 1961.
Western Australian small area forecasts covering the whole state are now available
How are the SAFi forecasts used? This blog has been superseded and we have now updated our population forecasts for Western Australia. Read more here. We are proud to announce the completion of our latest set...
Forecasting demand for primary schools in NSW
Bourke Street Primary, a quaint school in Sydney’s inner-city, had 74 students in 2010. Back then official forecasts showed that by 2014 the school would have grown to 112 students, and was making plans...
Locating retirement living villages to meet demand
A prominent retirement living provider was looking to make a substantial investment in capacity across Victoria and NSW. They needed to be able to anticipate demand and invest with confidence.
Does ‘Big Australia’ mean ‘Big Immigration’?
In our last post, we noted that while Australian population growth is projected to slow towards the end of this century, Australia will still ‘outgrow’ much of the world, including many of our major trading...
Australia – outgrowing the world?
Despite two world wars, the 20th Century produced an unprecedented explosion in the human population. But that was then and this is now, and the human species isn’t growing like it used to. In fact, the latest...
Location analysis – solving the where-when riddle for a major Australian charity
A major Australian charity was looking for ways to increase donation rates. In particular, they wanted to know where their static, mobile and new donation centres should be located, now and in the future....
Forecasting the demand for water services in fast-growing Melbourne
Our client is a utility provider in regional Victoria. In a rapidly growing region, they use forecasts of population and dwelling growth to help determine the timing, size and location of future infrastructure...
