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Population forecasting

The Importance of Land Use Planning in Local Government Areas

By Dieter Krusic-Golub / 21 May, 2024

Land use planning is a critical component of the planning process for local government areas (LGAs), as it helps to ensure that land is used and developed in a way that supports the needs and priorities of the community.

Compromising on consistency: The risk in using public forecast data alone
By Andrew Hedge / 16 May, 2024

If you're planning infrastructure or services or making an investment or location decision, at some point you will need a population forecast to help you understand how many people will live (or, in other...

How housing development is shaping population growth in Newcastle and the Hunter
By Liza Ivanova / 08 Mar, 2024

As forecasters, we simplify millions of data points into a single forecast number that tells you when, where and how much a place is expected to grow. But that simplicity can disguise the deep and considered...

The population forecast for New South Wales
By Andrew Hedge / 08 Mar, 2024

New South Wales is Australia’s most populated state, with just under a third of the national population residing in NSW. The disruptions of the COVID pandemic had a significant impact on the state, with a net...

What’s standing in the way of us building adaptable cities?

As one of our most experienced population forecasters, Richard Thornton’s daily work exposes him to the many factors that influence when, where and how much growth occurs in different parts of Australia. In...

Australia’s life expectancy falls slightly due to COVID

The latest Australian life expectancy dataset has recently been released for the 2020–2022 period. Demographer Glenn Capuano unpacks the impact of COVID-19, lays out how life expectancy varies across Australia,...

A return to the cities – what our nation-wide forecasts reveal about the future of Australia
By Andrew Hedge / 09 Nov, 2023

In October, we held a series of launch events to celebrate the fact forecast.id, our detailed, local area forecast of population, housing and development, are now available nationwide. In today’s blog, we share...

The ripple effect: How Tasmania's population growth will shape demand for essential services
By Andrew Hedge / 10 Oct, 2023

The demographic drivers behind Tasmania’s growth are changing. In our recent webinar, Fighting history: Can Tasmania sustain population growth after the pandemic?, we explained why we don’t expect Tasmania’s...

What's shaping population in Australia's growth areas?
By Kieran McConnell / 17 May, 2023

As Australia’s new suburbs continue to accommodate much of the country’s population growth, it becomes crucial to adapt housing and services to meet the evolving demands of their growing share of maturing...

What factors cause growth or decline in the school-aged population of places?
By Andrew Hedge / 17 May, 2023

By 2041, our forecasts show Australia will have 624,000 more school-aged children than it did in 2021; 252,000 primary school-aged (5-11), and 372,000 secondary-school aged (12-17). And every one of these...

Ten areas in your state that need to plan for more school students
By Andrew Hedge / 15 May, 2023

Just as schools have evolved beyond ‘chalk and talk’ in the education experience they provide our kids, the profession of demographic forecasting has developed in recent years to the point where school planning...

Surging overseas migration: a Covid correction or the new normal?
By Andrew Hedge / 10 May, 2023

Anyone following the news cycle in the lead-up to the federal budget will have heard the figure of ‘400,000 people from overseas coming to Australia this year’. That level of migration has created headlines...

What is shaping population growth in regional Queensland?
By Kieran McConnell / 29 Sep, 2022

Regional Queensland’s growth in family age groups is outpacing the rest of regional Australia and is predominantly driven by Queensland’s major regional cities.

How micro-geography helps plan services in growth areas
By Andrew Hedge / 20 Apr, 2022

When you’re dealing with Census data, SA1-level data is generally considered quite a granular view of the population. However, as SA1s are designed for the current population, they’re often not as useful when...

2021 Census information is coming. What does it mean for your council’s population forecast?
By Andrew Rossiter / 04 Mar, 2022

With the release of 2021 Census data fast approaching, our Local Government Population Forecasting Team is preparing for the ‘most anticipated Census in a generation’.

What's the state of purpose-built student accommodation? A look at the City of Adelaide.
By Andrew Rossiter / 06 Sep, 2021

Purpose-built student accommodation is changing the fabric of many of our CBDs. Last month our Local Government Population Forecasting Team reviewed population forecasts for the City of Adelaide and were...

Top 5 questions from the webinar: ‘How COVID-19 is shaping population growth across Australia?’
By Andrew Rossiter / 06 Jul, 2021

So many questions… so little time In case you missed it, a few weeks ago Katie Bayley and Andrew Rossiter from our Local Government population forecasting team held a free lunchtime webinar on how the pandemic...

How is COVID-19 impacting population growth in our Capital Cities?
By Andrew Rossiter / 02 Jun, 2021

In this final of a three part series, Andrew Rossiter turns his attention to how COVID-19 is impacting population growth in different ‘types of places’ within our Capital cities.

What were the early impacts of COVID-19 on population growth in Regional Australia?
By Andrew Rossiter / 28 May, 2021

In this second of a three blog series, Andrew Rossiter looks more closely at regional Australia and how COVID-19 is impacting population growth in different ‘types of places’ within it.

How did the first few months of COVID-19 impact population growth in Capital cities and Regional Australia?
By Andrew Rossiter / 04 May, 2021

The recent release of the Annual Population Estimates for Local Government Areas from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has been an excellent opportunity for our Local Government Population Forecast...

Can current rates of housing development be sustained?
By Andrew Hedge / 29 Mar, 2021

As forecasters, we’re currently confronted by a strange set of circumstances. Based on what we know of population change in the next few years, demand for dwellings is likely to slow considerably. However, many...

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