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Population forecasting

Planning for future school demand

Understanding your future population ensures appropriate resource allocation. One recent example we can share with you is of a local government area (LGA) needing to understand how their population will change and grow in the future and...

How COVID-19 will impact the future population of Inner City and CBD areas
By Chris Jones / 21 Dec, 2020

In this series, our local government forecasting team are looking at the impacts of COVID-19 on different ‘types’ of places in Australia. Today Chris Jones looks at the Inner City and CBD areas. This analysis...

How COVID-19 will impact the future population of rural areas
By Kieran McConnell / 20 Nov, 2020

Accounting for around 11% of Australia’s population, rural areas cover nearly 60% of Australia’s land mass and produce the majority of its agriculture and primary industries. As such the importance of how...

How COVID-19 will impact the future population of Growth Areas
By Andrew Rossiter / 24 Sep, 2020

Today Andrew Rossiter looks at the impacts of COVID-19 on Growth Areas. Of the different types of places we’re examining in this series, these Local Government Areas have seen the most population growth and...

How COVID-19 will impact the future population of Peri-urban areas
By Andrew Rossiter / 01 Sep, 2020

Today’s blog is the latest in a series from our local government forecasting team, looking at the impacts of COVID-19 on different ‘types’ of places in Australia. In this latest piece, Andrew Rossiter looks at...

How COVID-19 will impact the future population of Major Regional Cities
By Andrew Rossiter / 14 Aug, 2020

In this series, our local government forecasting team look at the impact of COVID-19 on different ‘types’ of places in Australia, starting today with ‘Major regional cities’. This analysis accompanies the...

Understanding the impact of Covid-19 on population forecasts
By Andrew Rossiter / 06 Aug, 2020

If you have visited our publicly accessible population forecasts recently, you may have wondered if these forecasts account for the impacts of COVID-19. Andrew Rossiter, one of our forecasters and consultants,...

Would you be a great population forecaster?
By Andrew Hedge / 23 Aug, 2019

We’re currently looking for the newest member of our population forecasting team. The ideal person has a fairly unique set of skills, but we figured people like you, who share our curiosity about places and how...

Growth area planning – a challenge and an opportunity

Melton is one of the fastest-growing areas in the fastest-growing city in Australia. Like other growth areas on the urban fringes of our burgeoning capital cities, the headline figures of population growth are...

How population forecasting influences democracy in Australia

With the Victorian State election happening this weekend, our lead forecaster explains why good local population forecasts are critical to ensuring the voices of each person in the electorate are fairly...

Forecasting the future of Wellington: Telling complex stories of change

Wellington City is changing – fast. In this piece, Penny shares how we forecast population change in rapidly growing areas, to help local councils make informed planning decisions. She also explores how the...

New Zealand’s Census

The recent Census of Population and Dwellings in New Zealand was an interesting reflection of changing societal attitudes and technologies. As most Kiwis successfully completed their Census forms online,...

Where is the demographic centre of Melbourne? And how is it changing?

One of the great, nerdy things we do as demographic analysts is to compare how the balance of population changes across a City over time. As part of our recent updates to .id’s Victorian population forecasts,...

Who will win the race to be Australia’s number 1 capital city?

While many in Melbourne already view their city as the cultural capital of Australia, Sydney still reigns in terms of population as Australia’s largest capital city, with .id estimating a population of 5.07...

Who said you should look out further? The shift to established areas
By .id archive / 09 Jan, 2018

Famously labelled by Australian artist Courtney Barnett, ‘Depreston’ echoes the sentiment of a larger issue plaguing the wider metropolitan area of Melbourne. Barnett sings of the juxtaposition of an area...

Urban growth in Melbourne’s fringe: spotlight on Tarneit
By SCOTT HONG / 04 Jan, 2018

Metropolitan Melbourne is experiencing unprecedented population growth and remains an attractive destination for migrants from regional Victoria, interstate and overseas. Because of this, suburbs on the fringe...

The rise and rise of Marvellous Melbourne: population patterns and trends in Victoria
By Esther - Team Forecast / 19 Dec, 2017

Victoria is in the midst of massive population growth – in the last 7 years, the growth rate has surged upwards to be well above Australia’s rate of growth. In 2016, Victoria became home to an average of 400...

How our SAFi population forecasts performed against State Government
By Esther - Team Forecast / 06 Nov, 2017

Forecasting the future population is a highly complex undertaking that incorporates a large number of inputs, detailed underlying assumptions, sophisticated modelling, and a huge amount of knowledge and...

Forecasting the future: what we learned from the 2016 Census
By Esther - Team Forecast / 04 Oct, 2017

When developing population forecasts, we rely on data sources such as the Census to build our knowledge of how Australia’s towns, cities and remote communities are growing and changing over time. We use this...

Planning for change in Warrnambool and Colac-Otway

This year .id had the chance to work with two different areas in Victoria’s South-West – Warrnambool and Colac Otway.

How close did we get? Comparing .id’s Small Area Forecast information with population estimates
By Esther - Team Forecast / 28 Sep, 2017

As population forecasters, we eagerly awaited the release of detailed Census data, as it provides an important input into our Small Area Forecast information (SAFi) population forecasts. When the Australian...

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