Population forecasting
How close did we get? Comparing .id’s Small Area Forecast information with population estimates
As population forecasters, we eagerly awaited the release of detailed Census data, as it provides an important input into our Small Area Forecast information (SAFi) population forecasts. When the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)...
2016 Population revisions – winners and losers
On July 28th, a month after the Census release, the ABS released updated population estimates for all Local Government Areas and smaller geographic units in Australia.
How the release of 2016 Census data affects your council’s population forecast
Now that the ABS has started to release 2016 Census data, you might be wondering when we will start to update our Local Government population forecasts.
What goes into developing a micro-geographic population forecast?
You may know that here at .id we create population forecasts to help our clients understand future demand for services and infrastructure, but have you ever wondered what goes into developing a population...
The balancing act of developing population forecast information
You may have heard us talk about the ‘assumptions’ that go into developing population forecast information. When we forecast the future population of an area, we need to make assumptions about how big picture...
Future population growth in Canberra’s diverse region
Planning for future population growth and change in southern New South Wales just got a little easier with the publication of population and dwelling forecasts (forecast.id) for each of the eight member...
The devil is in the detail – why planning at the right level matters
Our clients voice their frustration with using regular population forecast information – whether it’s geography that is too big for accurate planning, infrequent updates, or underlying assumptions that are...
Is it all doom and gloom after the boom in Western Australia?
With the end of the mining resources boom in Western Australia, many people are left wondering, Is it all doom and gloom after the boom? We’re so glad you asked! Let’s take a look at what is happening in the...
Forecasting the future of NSW: In search of greenfield growth in suburban Sydney
Significant population growth is expected throughout large parts of Sydney, both in established and greenfield areas. With outer suburban Sydney seeing particular growth fronts due to the availability of...
Forecasting the future of NSW: Inner city population rises as Sydney builds upwards
Greater Sydney is set to grow by more than 1.5 million people in just over 20 years, from 5.07 million in 2017 to 6.62 million people in 2040. With fewer greenfield sites in inner city areas, we take a look at...
How will the ageing population influence demand for services in NSW?
We hear a lot about the growing cohort of older Australians. However there is much less information on how these citizens will choose to live, and where, as they age. These are vital questions if we are to...
New South Wales: The return of the premier state?
The population of New South Wales is set to reach 9.644 million over the next 20 years, with an extra 1.927 million new residents by 2036. The rate of population growth in NSW is typically slower than the rest...
Forecasting the future of NSW: How will regional population growth play out in the future?
Population growth in regional New South Wales has been sluggish over recent years, however, some regional fronts still show strong growth, particularly around fringe and coastal areas around Greater Sydney. In...
Forecasting the future of NSW: Where will population growth be located?
The population of New South Wales will grow by 1.927 million people in twenty years, making a state of 9.644 million people by 2036.
New lines drawn around NSW highlight housing trends
In May 2016, the NSW government announced the first of a series of council amalgamations, including several in the Sydney metropolitan area. With .id working closely with the local government sector, there were...
The flowing tides of population forecasting
There are so many considerations when forecasting populations. At .id, our population forecasts are fundamentally based on a number of principles and assumptions which include understanding the long-term trends...
Forecasting in New Zealand – Building regional knowledge in the Wellington Region
How do regional population growth, migration and movement affect local populations? Two new Territorial Authorities in the Wellington Region have recently obtained forecast.id population and household forecasts...
Choosing the right population forecast for local area planning: case study
We sometimes get asked by our local government clients, “Why would I use .id’s forecasts? The state government has their own population projections and they require us to use those.” We are well placed to...
5 things you need to know about how population growth in Australia is changing
In the last two years, Australia’s population growth rate has slowed.
Can the history of Rockingham help us understand the future?
It might seem obvious but one of the more intriguing aspects of population forecasting is the numbers. The size of the populations that are forecast at future points in time can either be scary, or represent a...
On population projections, forecasts and weather
Population forecasts are often referred to as ‘projections’. This is understandable, as they are ‘projecting’ something into the future. But the term projection implies that it is a continuation of current...
