By - esther team forecast
The rise and rise of Marvellous Melbourne: population patterns and trends in Victoria
Victoria is in the midst of massive population growth – in the last 7 years, the growth rate has surged upwards to be well above Australia’s rate of growth. In 2016, Victoria became home to an average of 400 new residents each day,...
How our SAFi population forecasts performed against State Government
Forecasting the future population is a highly complex undertaking that incorporates a large number of inputs, detailed underlying assumptions, sophisticated modelling, and a huge amount of knowledge and...
Forecasting the future: what we learned from the 2016 Census
When developing population forecasts, we rely on data sources such as the Census to build our knowledge of how Australia’s towns, cities and remote communities are growing and changing over time. We use this...
How close did we get? Comparing .id’s Small Area Forecast information with population estimates
As population forecasters, we eagerly awaited the release of detailed Census data, as it provides an important input into our Small Area Forecast information (SAFi) population forecasts. When the Australian...
What’s driving the change in Western Australia’s housing?
As Australia’s population grows, the way Australians consume housing is changing. The surge in higher density residential development means that more households than ever are living in smaller homes than the...
The devil is in the detail – why planning at the right level matters
Our clients voice their frustration with using regular population forecast information – whether it’s geography that is too big for accurate planning, infrequent updates, or underlying assumptions that are...
Is it all doom and gloom after the boom in Western Australia?
With the end of the mining resources boom in Western Australia, many people are left wondering, Is it all doom and gloom after the boom? We’re so glad you asked! Let’s take a look at what is happening in the...
Forecasting the future of NSW: In search of greenfield growth in suburban Sydney
Significant population growth is expected throughout large parts of Sydney, both in established and greenfield areas. With outer suburban Sydney seeing particular growth fronts due to the availability of...
Forecasting the future of NSW: Where will population growth be located?
The population of New South Wales will grow by 1.927 million people in twenty years, making a state of 9.644 million people by 2036.
Western Australian small area forecasts covering the whole state are now available
This blog has been superseded and we have now updated our population forecasts for Western Australia. Read more here. We are proud to announce the completion of our latest set of population forecasts for the...
The evidence is clear: equality for women means progress for all
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon made this statement in the lead up to this year’s International Women’s Day, “Countries with more gender equality have better economic growth. Companies with more women leaders...
Population forecasters: What were they thinking?
How did the population forecasters of last century think that Australia’s population would change and grow?
Crime rates – the butler did it. But statistics were an accessory
Birth rates, death rates, crime rates, home ownership rates, you get the idea, rates are everywhere! In this blog I explore the calculation of crime rates … and the impact of the revisions of the official...
A city in flux…Christchurch
We recently had an .id office social trip to the flicks to see Human Scale, a documentary about cities and civic design which “questions our assumptions about modernity, exploring what happens when we put...
My shout … or yours… a closer look at dependency ratios
Who will be paying for your latte (or more likely, meals on wheels!) in your twilight years?
Do many Australians move to New Zealand?
Do many Australians move to NZ? This question was posed to the Twitter-sphere recently and thus the topic for my next blog was decided.
Which way is up? The difference between ‘bottoms-up’ and ‘tops-down’ population forecasting
Our clients often express a bit of uncertainty about the difference between the various approaches to population forecasting.
What and where is the centre of population?
A client contacted us recently to request a calculation of the centre of population for their local area. Steve quickly responded to this request, and some discussion and speculation within the team followed on...
ERP re-re-re-revisions – explanation and implications
Australia’s official population count, Estimated Resident Population (ERP), is always revised following a census. This year however additional revisions have been announced following a methodological...
Community profile for Australia is now online – what does it show?
The .id Australian Community Profile site makes it easy to analyse census data, in this blog I explore changes to the numbers and settlement patterns of Australian residents born overseas…
