The 10 things you need to know about population forecasts

The 10 things you need to know about population forecasts

Knowing how the population will change is extremely valuable for any organisation that is planning for the future. To inform your plans and make confident decisions you will need to rely on a population forecast to quantify the size and characteristics of your target population in a specific place at a given time in the future.

There are many forecasts available, produced by different organisations for various purposes. They each use different assumptions and methodologies. This can have a big effect on the outcome of the forecast. Add into the mix the different geographies and outputs and it is little wonder that it is so challenging to find a reliable source of data that aligns with your business objectives.

Here are ten questions you should ask before relying on population forecast data.

  1. Who produced the forecast and why? The Purpose
  2. What year do the forecasts begin? The Base Data
  3. How are the forecasts calculated? The Method
  4. What assumptions are made? The Demographic Assumptions
  5. Where is the population distributed? The Geography
  6. How is the population distributed? Tops-down or Bottoms-up
  7. What time period do the forecasts cover? The Time Period
  8. What are the forecast outputs? The Outputs
  9. How independent are the forecasts? The Outcome
  10. How much should I pay? The Cost

To help you answer these, we have collated an ebook to navigate your way through the many population forecasts available.

In this guide we have gathered together our knowledge of the available population forecasts in Australia. Who produces them, what assumptions they use, what outputs are available and most importantly what geography they cover and at what level of detail. Our aim is to help you to build the best evidence base for your critical decision-making, without agenda or bias.

There’s also a handy reference chart to help you select the right forecast for your needs.

Download our ebook: “Which forecast should I use?”

Or if you’d prefer a personal tour of the subject, you can replay our “Which forecast should I use?” webinar.

.id is a team of population experts, who use a unique combination of online tools and consulting to help organisations decide where and when to locate their facilities and services, to meet the needs of changing populations. Access our free demographic resources here.

Download population forecast ebook

Lailani - Population News

Lailani is responsible for content and strategy at .id, ensuring our clients’ needs are central to our enterprise and that we generously share our knowledge with the broadest audience. As a member of our Board, Lailani works with Ivan and Janet to set the strategic direction for the company. Her current focus is our Placemaker consulting business and she has worked with numerous clients across retail, finance, property, local government, education and not-for-profits to put together the best evidence-base for their spatial decision making. With degrees in Business Studies and Economics, she has worked in business development and marketing roles for IBM and SPSS in the UK, as well as a stint as a ranger in Kakadu National Park. Lailani is an Alexander Technique practitioner, surfer and traveller.

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