population forecasting
How housing development is shaping population growth in Newcastle and the Hunter
As forecasters, we simplify millions of data points into a single forecast number that tells you when, where and how much a place is expected to grow. But that simplicity can disguise the deep and considered research behind every...
The population forecast for New South Wales
New South Wales is Australia’s most populated state, with just under a third of the national population residing in NSW. The disruptions of the COVID pandemic had a significant impact on the state, with a net...
What’s standing in the way of us building adaptable cities?
As one of our most experienced population forecasters, Richard Thornton’s daily work exposes him to the many factors that influence when, where and how much growth occurs in different parts of Australia. In...
Australia’s life expectancy falls slightly due to COVID
The latest Australian life expectancy dataset has recently been released for the 2020–2022 period. Demographer Glenn Capuano unpacks the impact of COVID-19, lays out how life expectancy varies across Australia,...
A return to the cities – what our nation-wide forecasts reveal about the future of Australia
In October, we held a series of launch events to celebrate the fact forecast.id, our detailed, local area forecast of population, housing and development, are now available nationwide. In today’s blog, we share...
The ripple effect: How Tasmania's population growth will shape demand for essential services
The demographic drivers behind Tasmania’s growth are changing. In our recent webinar, Fighting history: Can Tasmania sustain population growth after the pandemic?, we explained why we don’t expect Tasmania’s...
What's shaping population in Australia's growth areas?
As Australia’s new suburbs continue to accommodate much of the country’s population growth, it becomes crucial to adapt housing and services to meet the evolving demands of their growing share of maturing...
What factors cause growth or decline in the school-aged population of places?
By 2041, our forecasts show Australia will have 624,000 more school-aged children than it did in 2021; 252,000 primary school-aged (5-11), and 372,000 secondary-school aged (12-17). And every one of these...
Ten areas in your state that need to plan for more school students
Just as schools have evolved beyond ‘chalk and talk’ in the education experience they provide our kids, the profession of demographic forecasting has developed in recent years to the point where school planning...
Surging overseas migration: a Covid correction or the new normal?
Anyone following the news cycle in the lead-up to the federal budget will have heard the figure of ‘400,000 people from overseas coming to Australia this year’. That level of migration has created headlines...
What is shaping population growth in regional Queensland?
Regional Queensland’s growth in family age groups is outpacing the rest of regional Australia and is predominantly driven by Queensland’s major regional cities.
How micro-geography helps plan services in growth areas
When you’re dealing with Census data, SA1-level data is generally considered quite a granular view of the population. However, as SA1s are designed for the current population, they’re often not as useful when...
2021 Census information is coming. What does it mean for your council’s population forecast?
With the release of 2021 Census data fast approaching, our Local Government Population Forecasting Team is preparing for the ‘most anticipated Census in a generation’.
What's the state of purpose-built student accommodation? A look at the City of Adelaide.
Purpose-built student accommodation is changing the fabric of many of our CBDs. Last month our Local Government Population Forecasting Team reviewed population forecasts for the City of Adelaide and were...
Top 5 questions from the webinar: ‘How COVID-19 is shaping population growth across Australia?’
So many questions… so little time In case you missed it, a few weeks ago Katie Bayley and Andrew Rossiter from our Local Government population forecasting team held a free lunchtime webinar on how the pandemic...
How is COVID-19 impacting population growth in our Capital Cities?
In this final of a three part series, Andrew Rossiter turns his attention to how COVID-19 is impacting population growth in different ‘types of places’ within our Capital cities.
What were the early impacts of COVID-19 on population growth in Regional Australia?
In this second of a three blog series, Andrew Rossiter looks more closely at regional Australia and how COVID-19 is impacting population growth in different ‘types of places’ within it.
How did the first few months of COVID-19 impact population growth in Capital cities and Regional Australia?
The recent release of the Annual Population Estimates for Local Government Areas from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has been an excellent opportunity for our Local Government Population Forecast...
Can current rates of housing development be sustained?
As forecasters, we’re currently confronted by a strange set of circumstances. Based on what we know of population change in the next few years, demand for dwellings is likely to slow considerably. However, many...
Planning for future school demand
Understanding your future population ensures appropriate resource allocation. One recent example we can share with you is of a local government area (LGA) needing to understand how their population will change...
How COVID-19 will impact the future population of Inner City and CBD areas
In this series, our local government forecasting team are looking at the impacts of COVID-19 on different ‘types’ of places in Australia. Today Chris Jones looks at the Inner City and CBD areas. This analysis...
