Perth vs Brisbane – The game of “population growth”
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has just released its latest population summary for Australian States and Territories in their publication Australian Demographic Statistics (Cat No 3101.0) for the December Quarter 2012.
This is an important release as it contains the final estimates of population for States and Territories for June 30 2011, as well as the most up to date information on population change.
We’ll take a take a look at some of the interesting trends in this data in upcoming blogs – this first of which is growth in Perth vs Brisbane, which appears below:
Perth versus Brisbane
Some pundits have pointed out that if Melbourne continues to outgrow Sydney, it will become the largest City in Australia within a few decades. However, very little attention has been given to the fact that Perth has been growing at a rapid rate, especially in the last 6 years.
It has been outgrowing Brisbane and would become the nation’s third biggest city by 2033, if the growth rates between 2006 and 2012 were continued.
This is, of course, even more unlikely than Melbourne becoming bigger than Sydney as there are more than a few signs that the fizz has come out of the mining investment boom.
In addition, population growth in Brisbane appears to be picking up compared to the ebb of 2010-2011.
Net population growth, Brisbane and Perth Greater Capital City Statistical Areas, Year to June 30
Matthew - Team Forecast
Matthew is at the forefront of land, housing and population forecasting in Australia. As the developer of .id’s forecasting models and an author of .id’s e-books, he is a sought-after and entertaining presenter, and an inspiring consultant. He provides comprehensive insights into the migration, housing and land use changes that drive population and age structure change at the neighbourhood level. Matthew has had a profound influence on .id’s thinking about how we understand cities and regions. Matthew is currently heading a team developing micro-geography forecasts for the whole of Australia.
