Population forecasters: What were they thinking?

Esther - Team Forecast

Esther joined .id after working in the demography teams at both Statistics New Zealand and the Australian Bureau of Statistics producing national and regional statistics. Esther produces the top-down model for .id’s SAFi (Small Area Forecast information). This involves synthesising overseas, interstate and regional migration patterns to quantify regional change. Esther loves the way statistics assist in understanding our communities and can dispell urban myths or stereotypes.

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1 Response

  1. AKeygan says:

    All true- also very important to take into account the quantum and tempo effects of fertility into any forecast of population. It is interesting that little attention has been paid to this area in the recent projections–particularly in Tasmania (i.e. Treasury, DCAC etc).

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