Rebased population estimates – big changes to your LGA population

Glenn - The Census Expert

Glenn is our resident Census expert. After ten years working at the ABS, Glenn's deep knowledge of the Census has been a crucial input in the development of our community profiles. These tools help everyday people uncover the rich and important stories about our communities that are often hidden deep in the Census data. Glenn is also our most prolific blogger - if you're reading this, you've just finished reading one of his blogs. Take a quick look at the front page of our blog and you'll no doubt find more of Glenn's latest work. As a client manager, Glenn travels the country giving sought-after briefings to councils and communities (these are also great opportunities for Glenn to tend to his rankings in Geolocation games such as Munzee and Geocaching).

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4 Responses

  1. Jon Hickman says:

    Hi Glenn

    I use local government ‘small area’ x ‘service age group’ id estimates for projecting school aged populations. Are these still ‘fit for purpose’/’the best there is’ pending an update for the 2021 Census. When do you expect the small area estimates will be updated?

    • Hi Jon, are you talking about the Census counts or our population forecasts? The forecasts are being revised later in the year, to match the base 2021 population. They are still fit for purpose in terms of growth, but the base population may have drifted out.

  2. Alan Midwood says:

    The large reduction in Gold Coast’s population could have been due to Covid restrictions keeping the tourists out at the time of the Census. Now this floating population is back again you may need to consider revising future figures upwards.

    • Thanks Alan – resident population estimates can’t be due to a lack of tourists, as they are not counted as residents. However you’re right – the enumerated population of the Gold Coast did not grow by as much as the resident population in 2021, due to a lack of tourists. You can really see this in the numbers for Surfers Paradise, where the enumerated population was down by nearly 3,000 from 2016. Nevertheless, most of the Gold Coast is residential, rather than tourism based, and was unaffected by this.

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